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Pasaran perumahan UK bertambah baik tetapi kelembapan dilihat apabila kadar meningkat

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Britain’s housing market showed some improvement in May but further interest rates increases by the Bank of England are expected to put more pressure on demand and on prices in the coming months, an industry survey showed on Thursday (8 June).

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) measure of new buyer enquiries rose to a net balance of -18, the least negative figure since -14 in May 2022 and up from -34 in April.

A gauge of agreed sales rose to -7 in May, up from April’s -18.

RICS’ house price balance, which measures the difference between the percentage of surveyors seeing rises and falls in house prices, increased to -30 last month from -39 in April. A Reuters poll of analysts had pointed to a reading of -38.

However, analysts are forecasting another slowdown for the housing market with markets largely expecting the BoE’s Bank Rate to peak at 5.5% later this year, up from 4.5% now.

“It seems storm clouds are gathered, with the UK’s stubbornly high inflation likely undermining the recent improvement in activity,” Tarrant Parsons, senior economist at RICS, said.

Britain’s housing market staged a recovery earlier this year after former prime minister Liz Truss’s “mini-budget” caused turmoil in financial markets in September and sent the cost of fixed mortgage rates sharply higher to above 6%.

Pengiklanan

Tetapi terdapat tanda-tanda kehilangan momentum baru dalam pasaran baru-baru ini.

Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, Halifax, on Wednesday (7 June) said house prices menurun sebanyak 1.0% tahun ke tahun pada bulan Mei, penurunan tahunan pertama sejak 2012. Rival Nationwide minggu lepas melaporkan a 3.4% kejatuhan tahunan dalam harga, yang terbesar sejak 2009.

The BoE, which has raised borrowing costs 12 times in a row since late 2021, is expected to increase Bank Rate again to 4.75% on June 22 in an effort to bring inflation – which was a lebih tinggi daripada jangkaan 8.7% in April – back to its 2% target.

Beberapa pemberi pinjaman gadai janji, termasuk Halifax and Persatuan Bangunan Nationwide telah meningkatkan kadar gadai janji tetap mereka sebagai tindak balas kepada kenaikan kos pinjaman dalam pasaran kewangan.

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